Answers / Financial Due Diligence
How do you estimate maintenance capex when the target doesn't separately disclose it, and why does it matter for EBITDA quality?
A core Financial Due Diligence interview question — asked in analyst and associate interviews across IB, PE, and the Big 4.
THE SHORT ANSWER
Maintenance capex — the spend needed just to sustain the current asset base and revenue — matters because EBITDA ignores capex, so two businesses with the same EBITDA differ hugely in cash generation if one is capital-hungry; a buyer cares about EBITDA less maintenance capex as the real cash proxy. When it isn't disclosed, estimate it several ways and triangulate: compare total capex to depreciation over a cycle (sustained capex well above depreciation suggests growth spend, persistent capex near or below depreciation hints at under-investment), analyze the capex history splitting obvious expansion projects from recurring replacement, use management's own categorization but challenge it, benchmark capex-to-revenue against peers, and look at asset age/condition and any deferred-maintenance backlog. Flag under-investment as a quality and future-cash risk (a buyer may face a catch-up capex bill). The point is to convert reported EBITDA into a sustainable cash figure and surface hidden reinvestment needs.
WHAT INTERVIEWERS LISTEN FOR
- ✓Maintenance capex = spend to sustain current capacity/revenue
- ✓EBITDA less maintenance capex is the real cash proxy
- ✓Triangulate: capex vs depreciation, split growth/replacement, peer benchmark, asset age
- ✓Flag under-investment/deferred maintenance as a future cash risk
COMMON MISTAKES
- ✗Ignoring capex because EBITDA is the metric
- ✗Taking management's split at face value
- ✗Missing deferred-maintenance/catch-up capex risk
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